While prediction markets are not slot machines, I do want to be clear about that, they share some of these basic mechanisms, specifically intermittent reinforcement. So if you are somebody who’s very serious about your prediction markets, you may not be betting because you believe in something. You may be betting just to bet, just to be involved, to be part of the action, because you can’t win if you don’t play. That’s thing one.
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5The same properties also contributed to Nazi Germany’s strategy against agar’s scarcity, which — besides being supplied from Japan by submarine — relied on large pre-war stocks and on recovery methods to reuse bacteriological agar by autoclaving (boiling at around 121°C, 250°F, in a pressurized container for 30 to 60 minutes), thus liquefying and sterilizing the jelly, before purifying it again.